[HubbardBrookCOS] Hubbard Brook phenology projection

Matthew P. Ayres Matthew.P.Ayres at dartmouth.edu
Thu Apr 25 13:32:15 EDT 2019


Hi HB,
In case you are interested.
Based on our leaf-out phenology model, temperatures to date this year, and the 10-day forecast as of 24 April 2019, our predictions for leafout on the Main bird plot:
Budburst = 11 May,
90% completion of leaf expansion = 24 May.
More details in pg 2 of enclosure.

If the budburst date is accurate, it will be about 3 days earlier than expected based on the 60-year trend (page 1 in enclosure).

Matt
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